Wednesday, December 14, 2011

DFL Redistricting

Northeast Minnesota
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New Dist.08 PresOld Dist.08 PresChangeInc. PartyPrognosisIncumbents
SD6D22.73%SD6D22.21%D.52%DFLSafe DFLTom Bakk (DFL)
6AD20.5%6AD19.01%D1.48%DFLSafe DFLDavid Dill (DFL)
6BD25.31%6BD25.4%R.09%DFLSafe DFLMary Murphy (DFL)
SD7D38.86%SD7D41.01%R2.15DFLSafe DFLRoger Reinert (DFL)
7AD32.65%7AD36.1%R3.45%DFLSafe DFLThomas Huntley (DFL)
7BD46.2%7BD47.18%R.98%DFLSafe DFLKerry Gauthier (DFL)
SD3D21.93%SD3D8.54%D13.39%DFLSafe DFLTom Saxhaug (DFL)
3AD9.86%3AD13.36%R3.5%DFLSafe DFLTom Anzelc (DFL)Carolyn McElfatrick (GOP)
3BD32.97%5AD32.82%D.14%DFLSafe DFLTom Rukavina (DFL)
SD5D12.92%SD5D31.26%R18.33%DFLSafe DFLDave Tomassoni (DFL)Paul Gazelka (GOP)
5AD3%12AR3.97%D6.97%DFLSafe DFLJohn Ward (DFL)
5BD22.39%5BD29.63R7.24%DFLSafe DFLCary Melin (DFL)
SD8D10.44%SD8D9.17%D1.27%DFLSafe DFLTony Lourey (DFL)
8AD13.7%8AD25.8%R12.1%DFLSafe DFLBill Hilty (DFL)
8BD7.12%8BR7.32%D14.44%GOPLikely DFL
Roger Crawford (GOP)



Northwest Minnesota
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New Dist.08 PresOld Dist.08 PresChangeInc. PartyPrognosisIncumbents
SD1D7.02%SD1D.36%D6.66%DFLSafe DFLLeRoy Stumpf (DFL)
1AD4.31%1AR3.95%D8.26%GOPLean DFLOpen
1BD9.69%2AD5.37%D4.32%
DFLLikely DFLKent Eken (DFL)Debra Kiel (GOP)
SD2D3.61%SD2D1.82%D1.79%DFLLikely DFLRod Skoe (DFL)John Carlson (GOP)
2AD7.01%4AD6.3%%D.71%DFLLikely DFLJohn Persell (DFL)David Hancock (GOP)
2BD.15%2BR1.44%D1.59%GOPToss-UpDan Fabian (GOP)
SD4R10.36%SD4R4.71%R5.66%GOPSafe GOPOpen
4AR10.15%New SeatSafe GOP
4BR10.55%4BR13.74%D3.19%GOPSafe GOPLarry Howes (GOP)


West Central-North
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New Dist.08 PresOld Dist.08 PresChangeInc. PartyPrognosisIncumbents
SD9D10.42%SD9D9.85%D.57%DFLSafe DFLKeith Langseth (DFL)
9AD17.89%9AD17.77%D.12%GOPLikely GOPMorrie Lanning (GOP)
9BD1.84%9BD3.04%D1.2%DFLSafe DFLPaul Marquart (DFL)
SD10R5.61%SD10R14.01%D8.4%GOPLikely GOPGretchen Hoffman (GOP)
10AR13.89%10AR9.68%R4.21%GOPSafe GOPBud Nornes (GOP)
10BD3.81%10BR2.8%D6.61%GOPToss-UpTorrey Westrom (GOPPaul Anderson (GOP)
SD11R14.39%SD11R7.26%R7.14%GOPSafe GOPBill Ingrebrigtsen (GOP)
11AR17.04%10BR18.44%D1.4%GOPSafe GOPMark Murdock (GOP)
11BR11.68%11BR11.86%D.18%GOPSafe GOPMary Franson (GOP)
SD12R17.94%SD12R9.98%R7.96%GOPSafe GOPOpen
12AR19.61%16AR13.75%R5.86%GOPSafe GOPSondra Erickson (GOP)
12BR16.26%12BR16.36%D.1%GOPSafe GOPMike LeMieur (GOP)


West Central-South
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New Dist.08 PresOld Dist.08 PresChangeInc. PartyPrognosisIncumbents
SD13R18.22%SD13R10.11%R8.11%GOPSafe GOPMichelle Fischbach (GOP)
13AR25.48%13AR14.48%R11%GOPSafe GOPOpen
13BR11.87%13BR5.57%R6.3%GOPSafe GOPDean Urdahl (GOP)
SD20D5.62%SD20D4.9%D.72%DFLLikely DFLGary Kubly (DFL)Joe Gimse GOP)
20AD6.35%20AD6.14%D.21%DFLLikely DFLAndrew Falk (DFL)Lyle Koenen (DFL)
20BD5%20BD3.67%D1.33%DFLLean DFLBruce Vogel (GOP)
SD18R21.07%SD18R15.54%R5.53%Scott Newman (GOP)
18AR23.4%18AR18.46%R4.94%GOPLikely GOPRon Shimanski (GOP)Glenn Gruenhagen (GOP)
18BR18.58%18BR12.5%R6.08%GOPSafe GOPOpen



Southwest Minnesota
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New Dist.08 PresOld Dist.08 PresChangeInc. PartyPrognosisIncumbents
SD22R.62%SD22R5.88%D5.26%GOPLean GOPDoug Magnus (GOP)
22AR4.47%22AR8.47%%D4%GOPLikely GOPChris Swedzinski (GOP)
22BD3.82%22BR3.14%D6.96%GOPToss-UpOpen
SD21R11.55%SD21R8.01%R3.55%GOPSafe GOPGary Dahms (GOP)
21AR13.55%21AR4.46%R9.09%GOPSafe GOPPaul Torkeson (GOP)
21BR9.75%21BR11.54%D1.79%GOPSafe GOPOpen
SD23D16.48%SD23D14.75%D1.72%DFLSafe DFLKathy Sheran (DFL)Al Dekruif (GOP)
23AD13.7%23AD5.67%D8.03%DFLSafe DFLTerry Morrow (DFL)
23BD19.29%23BD19.16%D.13%DFLSafe DFLKathy Brynaert (DFL)
SD24R10.27%SD24R6.46%R.381%GOPSafe GOPJulie Rosen (GOP)
24AR11.8%24AR11.45%R.35%GOPSafe GOP
24BR8.79%24AR2.11%R6.68%GOPSafe GOPBob Gunther (GOP)Tony Cornish (GOP)



Southeast Minnesota
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New Dist.08 PresOld Dist.08 PresChangeInc. PartyPrognosisIncumbents
SD25R8.72%SD25D.8%R9.52%GOPSafe GOP
25AR11.26%25AR8.81%R2.45%GOPSafe GOP
25BR6.09%25BR6.08%R.01%DFLSafe DFL
SD26D8.76%SD26R3.73%D12.49%GOPLean DFLOpen
26AD14.78%27AD18.14%R3.36%GOPToss-Up
26BD1.43%26BD.09%D1.34%DFLLean DFL
SD27D13.14%SD27D19.21%R6.08%DFLLikely DFL
27AD4.64%New SeatToss-UpMike Benson (GOP)
27BD21.6%27BD20.35%D1.25%DFLSafe DFLJeanne Poppe (DFL)
SD28D11.76%SD28D1.69%D10.07%GOPLikely DFLJohn Howe (GOP)
28AD7.32%28AD6.27%D1.05%GOPLikely GOPOpen
28BD16.04%25BD9.15%D6.9%GOPLikely DFLTim Kelly (GOP)
SD29R11.22%SD29D.57%R11.8%GOPSafe GOPOpen
29AR10.64%29AR5.33%R5.32%GOPSafe GOPSteve Drazowski (GOP)Duane Guam (GOP)
29BR13.55%30BR8.77%R4.78%GOPSafe GOPOpen
SD30D9.85%SD30D1.81%D8.04%GOPLikely DFLDavid Senjem (GOP)Carla Nelson (GOP)
30AD11.46%30AD15.91%R4.45%DFLLikely DFLKim Norton (DFL)
30BD8.07%29BD7.71%D.36%DFLLikely DFLTina Liebling (GOP)
SD31D17.57%SD31D17.11%D.46%GOPLean DFLJeremy Miller (GOP)
31AD19.29%31AD22.11%R2.82%DFLSafe DFLGene Pelowski (GOP)
31BD15.81%31BD11.85%D3.96%GOPToss-UpGreg Davids (GOP)


Exurbs + St. Cloud
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New Dist.08 MarginOld Dist.08 MarginChangeInc. PartyPrognosisIncumbents
SD14R10.54%SD14R11.29%D.75%GOPSafe GOPOpen
14AR14.97%14AR11.99%R2.98%GOPSafe GOPTim O'Driscoll (GOP)
14BR6.32%14BR10.51%D4.19%DFLLikely DFLLarry Hosch (GOP)Steve Gottwalt (GOP)
SD15D8.09%SD15R5.16%D2.93%GOPToss-UpJohn Pederson (GOP)
15AD2.01%15AR2.38%D4.39%GOPToss-UpOpen
15BD14.65%15BD14.44%D.21%GOPLikely DFLKing Banaian (GOP)
SD16R19.19%SD16R19%R.19%GOPSafe GOPDave Brown (GOP)
16AR16.34%New DistrictSafe GOPOpen
16BR22.2%16BR23.49%D1.29%GOPSafe GOPMary Kiffmeyer (GOP)
SD17R13.63%SD17R12.25%R1.38%GOPSafe GOPSean Nienow (GOP)
17AR16.42%17AR15.03%R1.39%GOPSafe GOPKurt Daudt (GOP)
17BR11.23%17BR9.69%R1.54%GOPSafe GOPBob Barrett (GOP)
SD19R19.77%SD19R17.35%R2.42%GOPSafe GOPAmy Koch GOP)
19AR22.52%19AR13.28%R9.24%GOPSafe GOPBruce Anderson (GOP)Joyce Peppin (GOP)
19BR17.1%19BR20.58%D3.48%GOPSafe GOPJoe McDonald (GOP)Ernie Leidiger (GOP)


North Metro
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New Dist.08 PresOld Dist.08 PresChangeInc. PartyPrognosisIncumbents
SD41D3.58%New DistrictToss-UpOpen
41AD4.25%47AR2.09%D6.34%DFLToss-UpDenise Dittrich (DFL)Jim Abeler (GOP)
41BD2.95%49BD.45%D2.5%GOPToss-UpTim Sanders (GOP)
SD48R18.81%SD48R12.79%R6.02%GOPSafe GOPMike Jungbauer (GOP)
48AR19.89%48AR17.27%R2.62%GOPSafe GOPTom Hackbarth (GOP)
48BR16.42%New DistrictSafe GOPOpen
SD49R15.8%SD49R10.63%R5.17%GOPSafe GOPMichelle Benson (GOP)
49AR15.69%49AR19.94%D4.25%GOPSafe GOPPeggy Scott (GOP)Branden Petersen (GOP)
49BR16.84%New DistrictSafe GOPOpen
SD50D15.55%SD50D16.74%R1.19%DFLSafe DFLBarb Goodwin (DFL)Pam Wolf (GOP)
50A18.54%50AD25.2%R6.65%DFLSafe DFLCarolyn Laine (DFL)
50BD12.78%50BD9.29%D3.49%DFLSafe DFLKate Knuth (DFL)
SD51D8.98%SD51D6.05%D2.93%GOPLean DFLOpen
51AD3.02%51AD1.46%D1.56%GOPToss-UpLinda Runbeck (GOP)
51B14.93%51BD12.2%D2.73%DFLSafe DFLTom Tillbery (DFL)
SD52R9.61%SD52R4.56%R5.05%GOPSafe GOPRay Vandeveer (GOP)Roger Chamberlain (GOP)
52AR8.79%52AR8.95%D.16%GOPSafe GOPBob Dettmer (GOP)/td>
52BR10.16%53AR.94%R9.22%GOPSafe GOPOpen


East Metro
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New Dist.08 PresOld Dist.08 PresChangeInc. PartyPrognosisIncumbents
SD53D5.59%New DistrictToss-UpOpen
53AD5.84%New DistrictToss-UpOpen
53BD5.26%New DistrictToss-UpOpen
SD54D15.22%SD54D17.25%R2.03%DFLSafe DFLJohn Marty (DFL)
54AD15.46%54AD21.44%R5.99%DFLSafe DFLMindy Greiling (DFL)
54BD14.99%54BD12.87D2.12DFLSafe DFLBev Scalze (DFL)
SD55D11.25%SD55D18.08%R6.83%DFLLikely DFLCharles Wiger (DFL)
55AD15.37%55AD20.61%R5.24%DFLSafe DFLLeon Lillie (DFL)
55BD7.44%53BD5.34%D2.1%GOPLikely GOPCarol McFarlane (GOP)Matt Dean (GOP)
SD56D9.86%SD56D5.01%D4.85%GOPToss-UpTed Lillie (GOP)
56AD4.6%56AD2.93%D1.66%GOPToss-UpKathy Lohmer (GOP)
56BD16.83%%55BD15.66%D1.18%DFLSafe DFLNora Slawik (DFL)


South Metro
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New Dist.08 PresOld Dist.08 PresChangeInc. PartyPrognosisIncumbents
SD34R12.27%SD34R15.26%D3%GOPSafe GOPJulianne Ortman (GOP)Claire Robing (GOP)
34AR15.61%34AR22.34%D6.73%GOPSafe GOPMark Buesgens (GOP)
34BR9.06%34BR6.63%R2.42%GOPSafe GOPJoe Hoppe (GOP)
SD42D1.26%SD42D6.24%R4.98%GOPSafe GOPDavid Hann (GOP)
42AD.43%35AR5.22%D5.64%GOPSafe GOPMichael Baerd (GOP)
42BD1.97%42BD2.52%R.55%GOPSafe GOPJennifer Loon (GOP)
SD35R13.18%SD35R10.09%R3.1%GOPSafe GOPOpen
35AR9.12%New DistrictSafe GOPOpen
35BR17.22%35BR15.56%R1.66%GOPSafe GOPOpen
SD38D12.11%SD38D10.77%D1.34%GOPToss-UpTed Daley (GOP)
38AD14.65%38AD13.92%D.73%GOPLean DFLOpen
38BD9.73%38BD7.65%D2.08%GOPToss-UpDiane Anderson (GOP)Doug Wardlow (GOP)
SD39D14.51%SD39D15.27%R.75%DFLLikely DFLJames Metzen (DFL)
39A14.61%New DistrctLean DFLOpen
39B12.66%39BD11.41%D1.25%DFLSafe DFLJoe Atkins (DFL)
SD57D12.71%SD57D9.78%D2.94%DFLLikely DFLKatie Sieben (DFL)
57AD19.6%39AD19.26%D.34%DFLSafe DFLRick Hansen (DFL)
57BD6.02%57BD4.44%D1.57%GOPLikely GOPDenny McNamara (GOP)
SD37D4.51%SD37D4%D.51%GOPLikely GOPChris Gerlach (GOP)Dan Hall (GOP)
37AD5.09%37AD5.86%R.77%GOPLikely GOPTara Mack (GOP)
37BD3.96%40AD8.59%R4.64%GOPLikely GOPPam Mhyra (GOP)
SD36R7.51%SD36R9.47%D1.96%GOPSafe GOPDave Thompson (GOP)
36AR10.14%36AR10.31%D.17%GOPSafe GOPMary Liz Holberg (GOP)
36BR4.72%36BR8.67%D3.95%GOPSafe GOPPat Garofalo (GOP)Kurt Bills (GOP)


West Metro
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New Dist.08 PresOld Dist.08 PresChangeInc. PartyPrognosisIncumbents
SD32R1.15%SD32R10.37%D9.22%GOPLikely (GOP)Warren Limmer (GOP)
32AR9.76%32AR16.98%D7.23%GOPSafe GOPOpen
32BD7.64%32BR1.31%D8.95%GOPToss-UpKurt Zellers
SD33R14.74%SD33R7.51%R7.23%GOPSafe GOPGen Olson (GOP)
33AR16.14%33AR11.22%R4.93%GOPSafe GOPSteve Smith (GOP)
33BR12.31%33BR3.62%R8.69%GOPSafe GOPConnie Doepke (GOP)
SD43D15.66%SD43D10.52%D5.14%DFLLikely DFLTerri Bonoff (DFL)
43AD15.01%42AD10.29%D4.73%GOPLean DFLKirk Stenrud (GOP)
43BD16.26%43BD14.57%D1.69%DFLLikely DFLJohn Benson
SD44D21.69%SD44D37.28%R15.58%DFLSafe DFLRon Latz (DFL)
44AD37.91%44AD36.91%D1%DFLSafe DFLSteve Simon (DFL)
44BD6.52%43AD6.69%R.17%GOPLikely GOPSarah Anderson (GOP)
SD45D26.6%SD45D22.48%D4.13%DFLSafe DFLAnne Rest
45AD17.89%45AD18.08%R.19%DFLSafe DFLSandra Peterson (DFL)
45BD21.45%44BD37.63%R16.18%DFLSafe DFLRyan Winkler D(DFL)
SD46D19.73%SD46D34.08%R14.35%DFLSafe DFLChris Eaton (DFL)/td>
46AD22.07%45BD26.55%R4.48%DFLSafe DFLLyndon Carlson
46BD31.96%46BD32.26%R.3%DFLSafe DFLDebra Hillstrom (DFL)
SD47D14.93%SD47D4.25%D10.14%GOPLikely DFLBenjamin Kruse (GOP)
47AD15.29%46AD36.09%R20.8%DFLSafe DFLMichael Nelson (DFL)
47BD13.48%47BD9.84%D3.65%DFLLikely DFLMelissa Hortman (DFL)


Minneapolis
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New Dist.08 PresOld Dist.08 PresChangeInc. PartyPrognosisIncumbents
SD58D65.35%SD58D68.65%R3.31%DFLSafe DFLLinda Higgins (DFL)
58AD63.49%58AD63.37%R6.33%DFLSafe DFLJoe Mullery (DFL)
58BD67.23%58BD73.55%R6.32%DFLSafe DFLBobby Joe Champion (DFL)
SD59D54.07%SD59D58.3%R4.23%DFLSafe DFLOpen(DFL)
59AD49.46%59AD55.79%R6.33%DFLSafe DFLDiane Loeffler (DFL)
59BD59.51%59BD6.69%R1.18%DFLSafe DFLPhyllis Kahn(DFL)
SD60D68.6%SD60D63.85%R4.75%DFLSafe DFLScott Dibble (DFL)
60AD70.14%60AD62.74%D7.4%DFLSafe DFLMarion Greene(DFL)
60BD67.13%60BD64.91%D2.22%DFLSafe DFLFrank Hornstein (DFL)
SD61D66.03%SD61D78.65%R12.62%DFLSafe DFLJeff Hayden (DFL)
61AD77.75%61AD7.17%R.42%DFLSafe DFLKaren Clark (DFL)
61BD59.41%61BD79.09%R19.68%DFLSafe DFLOpen (DFL)
SD62D53.88%SD62D60.61%R6.72%DFLSafe DFLPatricia Torres Ray (DFL)
62AD66.99%62AD66.03%D.96%DFLSafe DFLJim Davnie (DFL)
62BD40.74%62BD55.52%R14.78%DFLSafe DFLJean Wagenius (DFL)
SD63D22.01%SD63D34.21%R12.2%DFLSafe DFLKen Kalesh (DFL)Geoff Michel (GOP)
63AD32.29%63AD41.08%R8.8%DFLSafe DFLPaul Thissen (DFL)Keith Downey (GOP)
63BD11.4%41BD8.8%D2.6%DFLSafe DFLPat Mazorol (GOP)
SD40D18.49%SD40D10.52%D7.97%DFLSafe DFLOpen
40AD23.93%40AD25.87%R1.94%DFLSafe DFLLinda Slocum (DFL)
40BD12.73%63BD12.23%D.5%DFLSafe DFLAnne Lenczewski (DFL)



St. Paul
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New Dist.08 PresOld Dist.08 PresChangeInc. PartyPrognosisIncumbents
SD64D50.73%SD64D50.4%D.33%DFLSafe DFLDick Cohen (DFL)
64AD58.19%64AD57.41%D.78%DFLSafe DFLErin Murphy (DFL)
64BD43.42%64BD43.56%R.15%DFLSafe DFLMichael Paymar (DFL)
SD65D59.93%SD65D59.96%R.02%DFLSafe DFLSandy Pappas (DFL)
65AD59.45%65AD67.43%R7.98%DFLSafe DFLRena Moran (DFL)
65BD60.2%65BD54.81%D5.39%DFLSafe DFLCarlos Mariani (DFL)
SD66D52.1%SD66D55.91%R3.81%DFLSafe DFLMary Jo McGuire (DFL)
66AD46.87%66AD54.58%R7.72%DFLSafe DFLJohn Lesch (DFL)
66BD55.95%66BD56.7%R.75%DFLSafe DFLAlice Hausman (DFL)
SD67D31.86%SD67D46.11%E14.24%DFLSafe DFLJohn Harrington (DFL)
67AD46.18%67AD45.78%D.4%DFLSafe DFLTim Mahoney (DFL)
67BD19.53%67BD46.72%R27.9%DFLSafe DFLSheldon Johnson (DFL)Andrea Kieffer (GOP)John Kriesel (GOP)
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